This week, we haven’t had much action in the Intrade market but I am hoping it will pick up. I have some positions already but not as many as I want. Later on today, I will update this post, but here are my predictions for the weekend. Interestingly enough, my model gives Youth in Revolt a better weekend than Leap Year. I would have figured that Avatar would still crush any and all competition and any movies opening this weekend would suffer but honestly, how much more can Avatar make? Most people I feel who would watch Avatar have done so already. In any case, the chick flick Leap Year looks like it is going to get stomped. Too bad for Amy Adams, I kind of like her.
| Movie | Prediction for Opening Weekend |
| Daybreakers | $18,000,000 |
| Youth in Revolt | $10,930,000 |
| Leap Year | $7,570,000 |
You ever consider betting on Intertops.com?
ReplyDeleteYou could place $20 to profit $30 on Daybreakers ending between 14.5 and 19.5M. Gotta get on the odds early though, as they will shift. The odds mentioned above were available last night, now $20 will net you $25 on that same bet.
Chuck do you have any Youth in Result contracts yet? I am the only seller on those 10m, 11m and 12m contracts. I don't think this movie does more than $9m, if you want some contracts at $9m or higher let me know.
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