Tuesday, January 26, 2010

Weekend Box Office Analysis (1/22/10)-(1/24/10)

Well just when I thought things were going okay. I get screwed over by $10,409. The Tooth Fairy did not meet some high expectations as I predicted but it wasn’t quite as low either. $14 Million was my break-even point and it went just right over. The good thing is that the model predicted that Legion would beat out Tooth Fairy which it did. Extraordinary Measures came in small like expected.


Movies Prediction Actual Absolute (%) Difference
Legion 16,380,000 17,501,625 6.85%
Tooth Fairy 11,570,000 14,010,409 21.09%
Extraordinary Measures 7,650,000 6,012,594 21.40%
Average 16.45%


This week does not look too good for movies opening this week either. Avatar will probably be #1 again. It has already broken Titanic’s record and it will still be the #1 movie at the weekend box office. Amazing. I thought Edge of Darkness with Mel Gibson was building up a little word of mouth but I’m not so sure now. We’ll see how the weekend turns out.


MTC RS
Edge of Darkness $15 Million $22.5 Million (Between 21-24)
When in Rome $11 Million $12.5 Million (Almost Teen Millions)

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