Tuesday, March 9, 2010

Weekend Box Office Analysis – Alice in Wonderland & Brooklyn’s Finest

Well, this weekend went pretty well with the Oscars and the Box Office this weekend. Even I was surprised by the huge Opening Weekend by Alice in Wonderland. The model seems to do better then average when predicting movies over $50 Million but seems to have a harder time with movies that gross less than $15 Million. Not a bad thing considering that movies that open larger on Opening Weekend are usually the ones that are traded the most. Here are the results of my predictions for the past two weekends.

Movie Prediction Actual Absolute (%) Difference
Alice in Wonderland $98.14 Million $116,101,023 24.20%
Brooklyn’s Finest $9.72 Million $13,350,299 40.08%
-- -- Opening Weekend Average 32.14%

For the Weekend of February 26-28, 2010.

Movie Prediction Actual Absolute (%) Difference
Crazies $17.09 Million $16,067,552 12.87%%
Cop Out $25.88 Million $18,211,126 9.82%
-- -- Opening Weekend Average 11.35%

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