Wednesday, April 21, 2010

Why Lib Dems Face Uphill Battle

Here is a little chart I made showing the unfairness of the British electoral system in favor of the Labour party. This chart was made using a Universal Swing Calculator.

In this chart the Others category are kept constant at 10% and the spread between Labour and the Conservatives is kept constant at 5%.


What's amazing is that as long as Labour stays within 5% of the Conservatives, the Lib Dem surge will do nothing to prevent a Labour plurality in seats until they hit 37%. The key for the Conservatives is to not lose any more votes to the Lib Dems and maintain a lead over Labour. Tomorrow, I'll go over some other election scenarios.

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