Tuesday, February 2, 2010

Weekend Box Office Results & Analysis (1/29/10)-(1/31/10)

Well this week my model did well and helped me win this weekend. I won my hedge on Intertops and my original bets on Intrade as well. Edge of Darkness passed $16 Million but not the $18 Million that would have been disastrous for me. When in Rome came in around expected and my estimate underestimated it a little. Mel Gibson is finally getting work again not like he needed the money and Edge of Darkness will help him get over his past.

Movie Prediction Actual Absolute (%) Difference
Edge of Darkness $14.86 Million $17,214,384 15.84%
When in Rome $11.08 Million $12,350,041 11.46%
-- -- Opening Weekend Average 13.65%


Here is tracking for “Dear John” and “From Paris With Love”, it seems clear that “Dear John” will be able to be the #1 Opening Weekend but Avatar will probably be #1 overall again. Sometime today it will be the #1 movie in the U.S all time. Incredible! Not only that, but the nominees for the Academy Awards were announced today. What a funny coincidence.

Movie MTC RS
Dear John $24 Million $17.5 Million (High Teens)
From Paris with Love $12 Million $15 Million (Mid Teens)

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