Well this week, I am putting my model to the ultimate test. The results for two movies were around the expected range, one was not. When I first saw these results, I was surprised by the number for Armored. Right now, I don't have enough observations to be very confident in these predictions but I will have more as time passes. The good thing is that I don't have to risk too much to test out my prediction.
I wanted to have these predictions out sooner but I wanted to finish establishing my position first. So, don't try and get me to buy some Armored contracts at higher prices, I'm done buying for this weekend.
Daily Chuck Predictions
Armored: $13.9 Million
Brothers: $7.5 Million
Everybody's Fine: $4.8 Million
Daily Chuck Positions
ARMORED.+$8.0M - Long - Avg 50%
ARMORED.+$9.0M - Long - Avg 25%
ARMORED.+$10.0M - Long - Avg 22.3%
ARMORED.+$11.0M - Long - Avg 19.2%
Friday, December 4, 2009
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Ah so you bought my armored 8M @50%. Not really sure where that movie will end up, but I'm happy with my position.
ReplyDelete-10 armored +8M @ 50%
+10 everybody's fine +5M @40%
Good luck (kind of)!