Friday, December 18, 2009

Weekend Box Office (12/18/09) - (12/20/09)

Update 3:34 PM EST

Well, it looks like my midnight prediction was way too high. Avatar made around $3.5 Million at midnight. Still good but lower than I was anticipating. Avatar feels like it is going to be big and with so many 3D screens, the number that my model spit out just kept making sense. I'm using some new variables and I'm pretty much trying them out this weekend.

Daily Chuck Predictions

Avatar: $86.58 Million
Did You Hear About the Morgans: $7.35 Million

I couldn't get the prices I wanted but I still think I'm getting the better side of things. 3D surprised everyone with Monster Vs. Aliens. 3D movies from my experience, seem to do better than expectations most of the time.

I Am Legend made $77.2 Million Opening Weekend in December 2007, without 3D. James Cameron is one of the few directors that carries a lot of weight around them. Avatar may not made the above numbers without 2D but 3D is a whole new different ball game.

Daily Chuck Intrade Positions

AVATAR.+$80.0M - Avg @ 50% - Long
AVATAR.+$85.0M - Avg @ 45% - Long

2 comments:

  1. The snow got you. I live in Virginia...we got 15 inches...no one went to the movies yesterday.

    ReplyDelete
  2. Yeah, unfortunately I do not have a variable for the weather. I am so bummed right now.

    ReplyDelete