Well it now looks like the two most important states to watch will be Colorado and Washington. Washington being the most likely Republican upset and Colorado being the most likely Democrat upset. (D) Sestak's chances in Pennsylvania are now very slim and PPP came out with a poll showing (R) Toomey with a 5 point lead. Looks like my bet there will not win but I considered it a hedge against my Senate Neither trade which looks spot on the money now. If Washington goes to the Republicans (I have some contracts going Long on Rossi now) and Intrade gets all the other Senate races right, we'll see a 50-50 Senate, with VP Biden casting the tie breaking vote. That'd be kinda fun for the next two years.
Monday, November 1, 2010
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