Prediction for Opening Weekend
Shrek Forever After - $77 Million
Macgruber - $9 Million
Friday, May 21, 2010
Box Office Prediction and Bets - Shrek Forever After and Macgruber
This weekend we have Shrek Forever After and Macgruber. Hopefully, this will be the last in the series for Shrek. As much as I loved the first Shrek movie, I feel that the quality of each sequel has been worse then the last. Needless to say I think that this movie will not open as well as the others. I have shorted Shrek Forever After at the $90, $95 and $100 Million price points on Intrade. I don't think my model's number for Macgruber is going to be very accurate so I adjusted it upwards a little bit. I have yet to get fully back into studying these numbers carefully and adjusting the model to get a more accurate prediction but I know my estimates shouldn't be too far off either.
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Hadn't checked your blog in awhile, but good to see you're back. Nice wins on SHREKKIE. What a bomb. I didn't play it.
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