I just want to go on the record right now and say that. At first, I didn't think he had more than a 20% chance of winning the Republican Senate nomination and even though I am a big fan and was hopeful about his electoral chances. I wasn't willing to put a wager on it. I was even called out on it by Jesse Livermore.Well, I changed my mind today because I saw this recent poll done by SurveyUSA. Trey Greyson, the favorite leads Paul 37% to 26%, only 11 points! The primary will be in 9 months and tomorrow on August 20th, Rand Paul is hoping to have a one day money bomb of 1 Million dollars. Rand Paul has never been elected to political office before nor has he ever run for political office before. To be polling in the double digits alone is an accomplishment. I didn't expect him to be competitive so soon.
Rand Paul, is the son of Republican Congressman Ron Paul and holds very similar views to his father. He is a Libertarian running in the Republican party merely because third party candidates don't really stand a chance in this country. He was not named after Ayn Rand as others may have told you.
I think Rand Paul is going to be a rising star within the Republican Party and the Libertarian movement across America. He gets lots of national air time on Fox News, appearing regularly on the Glenn Beck Show and that's advertisement you can't buy. I have no doubt that his supporters will be as ardent and hardcore as his Father's.
Rand Paul certainly has an uphill battle to climb. Trey Greyson is basically the protege and heir apparent of (R)Senator Jim Bunning and has much of the Republican establishment in Kentucky behind him. He also leads in fundraising but I think that will change after the weekend. After seeing the poll done by SurveyUSA and Rand Paul's fundraising ability, the Republican establishment might not be so quick to dismiss Rand Paul's candidacy and blindly support Greyson.
So, I've decided to take Jesse Livermore up on his offer and put my money where my mouth is. The terms of the wager aren't as good as before but I like my chances.
Daily Chuck Positions
REP.KY.SENATE2010.PAUL - 20 Contracts at 24
Good looks on your MJ contracts!
ReplyDeleteThat's a surprisingly good result for Paul. I think he's going to have a small minority who are REALLY excited for him and already know who they'll vote for. Most of the undecideds will probably break for Grayson.
ReplyDeleteAnd what are the odds that Ron Paul would have a son named Rand and it wouldn't have anything to do with Ayn Rand?
ReplyDeleteHaha, a lot higher than most people think apparently. I'll admit that I am part of that minority that is REALLY excited for Rand Paul but there is no way in hell I would have touched those contracts had his poll numbers not been as good as they are. They even surprised me a little.
ReplyDelete